BYU vs Opponents Thru Game 3

[SpiffCoug]

The sample size is slowly growing, and BYU is looking pretty good through three games on both sides of the ball.

As always, I'm comparing the BYU game to the opponents' season averages (with the BYU game removed from those calculations).

UConn
Held UConn 10 points (10) below their scoring average (20.0).
Allowed UConn 6.5 yards (71)above their rushing average (64.5).
Allowed UConn 98.5 yards (355) above their total offense average (256.5).
Held UConn 13.4 PER (97.62) points below their PER average (111.01).
BYU scored 8 points (35) more than their scoring defense average (27.0).
BYU gained 126.5 more yards (205) than their rushing defense average (78.5).
BYU Gained 216.5 more yards (513) than their total defense average (296.5).
BYU was 36.1 PER points (177.14) above their PER defense average (141.08).

Texas
Held Texas 20.5 points (7) below their scoring average (27.5).
Held Texas 62.5 yards (82) below their rushing average (144.5).
Held Texas 79.5 yards (258) below their total offense average (337.5).
Held Texas 9.1 PER points (116.40) below their PER average (125.48).
BYU scored 27.5 points (41) more than their scoring defense average (13.5).
BYU gained 100.0 more yards (248) than their rushing defense average (148.0).
BYU Gained 160.5 more yards (429) than their total defense average (268.5).
BYU was 21.6 points above (115.57) their PER defense average (93.93).

Houston
Held Houston 2 points (25) below their scoring average (27).
Held Houston 114.5 yards (10) below their rushing average (124.5).
Held Houston 17.5 yards (325) below their total offense average (342.5).
Allowed Houston 32.5 PER points (127.09) above their PER average (94.64).
BYU scored 19.5 points (33) more than their scoring defense average (13.5).
BYU gained 220.5 more yards (323) than their rushing defense average (102.5).
BYU Gained 273.0 more yards (523) than their total defense average (250.0).
BYU was 17.4 points (109.12) above their PER defense average (91.73).

Through three games:
BYU has held all three opponents below their scoring averages.
BYU has two of three opponents below their rushing averages.
BYU has held two of three opponents below their total offense averages.
BYU has held two of three opponents below the PER averages.
BYU has score more points against all three opponents scoring defenses.
BYU has gained more rushing yards against against all three opponents rushing defenses.
BYU has gained more total yards against all three opponents total defenses.
BYU has been above all three opposing PER defenses.

[Cougarbib]

The words or the colors are not all correct in the Texas section.

It looks like the much maligned offense is outperforming the defense even though the defense is performing very well.

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[SpiffCoug]

Thanks for the catch in Texas. We held Texas below average when we were on defense and were above average when we were on offense.

[hawkwing]

What might be interesting is to see what our result was versus their average, for example (with made up numbers):

Allowed Houston 32.5 PER points (132.5) above their PER average (100).

[Cougarbib]

Note that although our overall offense stands better than opponents opponent performance and defense almost always does the same, BYU PER defense VA Houston was a disappointment.

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[SpiffCoug]

Note that although our overall offense stands better than opponents opponent performance and defense almost always does the same, BYU PER defense VA Houston was a disappointment.

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Yes and no. We shut them down except for a few plays in the 2nd quarter.

I fully expect that PER number vs Houston to look better and better as the season progresses. I think BYU may have shown Houston coaches what O'Korn does well and hopefully they gained some confidence and will play much better vs the remainder of their schedule than what they had to start the season.

[Cougarbib]

Spiff

Are you putting an asterisk by PER? Houston had not exactly been playing against stout defenses in those first 2 games, and we allowed 35 PER points above that average.

Perhaps another asterisk while we are added. BYU offense achieved a lower PER than the Houston offense, yet BYU won. The asterisk here being that PER does not account for the rushing totals of the QB. But that does not explain how BYU allowed a higher PER than Texas San Antonio and Grambling allowed Houston. That ties back to a hail Mary and not creating any interceptions.

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[snoscythe]

Bib's favorite (though he's never read it) book:

[SpiffCoug]

Spiff

Are you putting an asterisk by PER? Houston had not exactly been playing against stout defenses in those first 2 games, and we allowed 35 PER points above that average.

Perhaps another asterisk while we are added. BYU offense achieved a lower PER than the Houston offense, yet BYU won. The asterisk here being that PER does not account for the rushing totals of the QB. But that does not explain how BYU allowed a higher PER than Texas San Antonio and Grambling allowed Houston. That ties back to a hail Mary and not creating any interceptions.

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No. What I'm saying is that BYU vs Houston's PER today might look very different than what it will look like at the end of the season.

And you are correct, Houston had a better PER against BYU than they did against UTSA because we didn't force turnovers. They did NOT have a better PER vs BYU than they did vs Grambling.

There is no asterisk necessary, just patience.

[Cougarbib]

Patience seems to mean that you are

Either

Thinking Houston will play a lot of terrible defenses the rest of the season - worse than Texas San Antonio and Grambling which will mask the issue that our defense could not match what they did

Or

Okorn will start to play much better than he has been playing thus masking the fact that we could not defend him even before he improved his play

Or

He sucked week 1. Righted the ship week 2. We held him fine, and he will continue to play the same as be us, but future defenses will wilt proving that BYU played a much different Okorn than Texas San Antonio played.

I will guess that you mean the last one. You may be right, and if so, we should see a hail Mary and zero interceptions every week.

I just think our defense had an off night, personally.

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