Recruiting Class 2015
- scott715
- TV Analyst
- Posts: 12372
- Joined: Sun Oct 25, 2009 12:56 am
- Fan Level: BYU Fanatic
- Prediction Group: CougarCorner
- Location: Pendleton, OR
- Has thanked: 3 times
- Been thanked: 138 times
Re: Recruiting Class 2015
I think we need a 3A star and 3B star ranking. I think we are getting better quality 3 star athletes.
-
- TV Analyst
- Posts: 10725
- Joined: Sat Nov 28, 2009 2:41 am
- Fan Level: BYU Fan
- Prediction Group: CougarCorner
Re: Recruiting Class 2015
You know your recruiting class is pretty average when it needs annual rationalization.
[ Post made via Mobile Device ]
[ Post made via Mobile Device ]
Anae just might be the guy. Wisconsin DC says Anae is totally unpredictable because he just runs a bunch of plays with no rhyme or reason. Whooped Butt on Houston DC for 3 of 4 quarters. Destroyed Texas DC and HC careers.
-
- Senior
- Posts: 926
- Joined: Sat Jan 02, 2010 1:06 pm
- Fan Level: BYU Fanatic
- Prediction Group: CougarCorner
Re: Recruiting Class 2015
It's not rationalization it's clarification.Cougarbib wrote:You know your recruiting class is pretty average when it needs annual rationalization.
[ Post made via Mobile Device ]
What is the reason for Byu's small recruiting classes of 14' and 15'? I'll give you a hint, it isn't a problem any other school deals with. MISSIONS.
It's context more than anything. Looking at the average star ranking lets you know the quality of players, not the quantity of such players.
Looking at 2015 Byu is currently 62nd(ave star 2.91) Utah is 63rd(ave star 2.79)
That average star ranking puts them as the 45th best average. (utah 57th) If you were to add in the number of recruits to the equation it puts Byu at 62. So because Byu has a lot of missionaries coming back they have a smaller class which hurt it's ranking. The talent is there but because some wait 2 years they ranking is hurt. How is that a fair or accurate rating?
To get the best IMO you'd add return missionaries to a recruiting class.
- scott715
- TV Analyst
- Posts: 12372
- Joined: Sun Oct 25, 2009 12:56 am
- Fan Level: BYU Fanatic
- Prediction Group: CougarCorner
- Location: Pendleton, OR
- Has thanked: 3 times
- Been thanked: 138 times
Re: Recruiting Class 2015
With the new commitment today our rank raised to #54 from 59 at 247 sports
54 Brigham Young 13 0 0 13 83.97 143.36
54 Brigham Young 13 0 0 13 83.97 143.36
- scott715
- TV Analyst
- Posts: 12372
- Joined: Sun Oct 25, 2009 12:56 am
- Fan Level: BYU Fanatic
- Prediction Group: CougarCorner
- Location: Pendleton, OR
- Has thanked: 3 times
- Been thanked: 138 times
Re: Recruiting Class 2015
With the new commitment today our rank raised to #54 from 59 at 247 sports, #77 to 71 on Rivals and, #65 to #62 on Scout.
-
- TV Analyst
- Posts: 10725
- Joined: Sat Nov 28, 2009 2:41 am
- Fan Level: BYU Fan
- Prediction Group: CougarCorner
Re: Recruiting Class 2015
St George
We sign many recruits every year that go straight out on a mission and thus are less constrained by the missionary factor than you think. The missionaries coming back in these years were counted when they signed before their missions and we got full credit for every one of them and we're still average.
These early rankings are meaningless, because as we saw last year, we pulled some scholarships out of the proverbial hat since some signees headed straight on missions and we signed some extra guys at the last minute. Still pretty aversge, though.
I will be happy as long as we beat Utah every year in recruiting, every time we play them on the firld, and in players who get drafted in the NFL. It starts with the recruiting battle - then the rest follows. Worry not, however, every single missionary coming back was counted in a previous average class and missionaries heading straight out will be counted in this one. No need to try to count them twice - that would be double counting. The success and excitement this season may have some last minute lift to this class and BYU knows how to find scholarships. Took a few away from 5th year guys last year. For example.
[ Post made via Mobile Device ]
We sign many recruits every year that go straight out on a mission and thus are less constrained by the missionary factor than you think. The missionaries coming back in these years were counted when they signed before their missions and we got full credit for every one of them and we're still average.
These early rankings are meaningless, because as we saw last year, we pulled some scholarships out of the proverbial hat since some signees headed straight on missions and we signed some extra guys at the last minute. Still pretty aversge, though.
I will be happy as long as we beat Utah every year in recruiting, every time we play them on the firld, and in players who get drafted in the NFL. It starts with the recruiting battle - then the rest follows. Worry not, however, every single missionary coming back was counted in a previous average class and missionaries heading straight out will be counted in this one. No need to try to count them twice - that would be double counting. The success and excitement this season may have some last minute lift to this class and BYU knows how to find scholarships. Took a few away from 5th year guys last year. For example.
[ Post made via Mobile Device ]
Anae just might be the guy. Wisconsin DC says Anae is totally unpredictable because he just runs a bunch of plays with no rhyme or reason. Whooped Butt on Houston DC for 3 of 4 quarters. Destroyed Texas DC and HC careers.
-
- Over-Achiever
- Posts: 6809
- Joined: Wed Dec 09, 2009 10:43 pm
- Fan Level: BYU Fan
- Prediction Group: CougarCorner
Re: Recruiting Class 2015
29m
Geoff Martzen @geoffmartzen
This official we just scheduled is going to turn some heads! Coaches are killing it right now! Winning makes it easy
Retweeted by Jarom Jordan
ExpandReplyRetweetFavorite
Any ideas who this might be?
Geoff Martzen @geoffmartzen
This official we just scheduled is going to turn some heads! Coaches are killing it right now! Winning makes it easy
Retweeted by Jarom Jordan
ExpandReplyRetweetFavorite
Any ideas who this might be?
-
- Senior
- Posts: 926
- Joined: Sat Jan 02, 2010 1:06 pm
- Fan Level: BYU Fanatic
- Prediction Group: CougarCorner
Re: Recruiting Class 2015
My comments were all about perspective when looking at recruiting rankings, nothing more. I personally believe that average star ranking is a better indicator for BYU than the point system is.Cougarbib wrote:St George
We sign many recruits every year that go straight out on a mission and thus are less constrained by the missionary factor than you think. The missionaries coming back in these years were counted when they signed before their missions and we got full credit for every one of them and we're still average.
These early rankings are meaningless, because as we saw last year, we pulled some scholarships out of the proverbial hat since some signees headed straight on missions and we signed some extra guys at the last minute. Still pretty aversge, though.
I will be happy as long as we beat Utah every year in recruiting, every time we play them on the firld, and in players who get drafted in the NFL. It starts with the recruiting battle - then the rest follows. Worry not, however, every single missionary coming back was counted in a previous average class and missionaries heading straight out will be counted in this one. No need to try to count them twice - that would be double counting. The success and excitement this season may have some last minute lift to this class and BYU knows how to find scholarships. Took a few away from 5th year guys last year. For example.
[ Post made via Mobile Device ]
A point system says were are ranked in the 60's(average) Average star ranking puts us in the 40's (slightly above average)
Missionaries dictate how many kids we sign per class. No double counting, just an accurate look at at how strong a class really is.
-
- TV Analyst
- Posts: 10725
- Joined: Sat Nov 28, 2009 2:41 am
- Fan Level: BYU Fan
- Prediction Group: CougarCorner
Re: Recruiting Class 2015
If you want to get all excited in a year where more missionaries come home than go out that year thus constraining that recruiting class - fine. Average stars should be higher the smaller the class because you can be really picky. But just go back 2 years ago and you will find that the average star approach will have the opposite effect on that class when more went out than came home. It all washes out. Just a timing issue if you try to look at just one year in isolation. Whichever number you like to use, use it to adjust every year - up some years down other years - and you still get a trend that is very average.
Take an extreme example. Say we had 12 scholarship players graduate this year. 12 openings. But 6 new recruits in this class go straight on missions. 18 openings. And a couple of current scholarship players decide to go on missions. 20 openings. But a huge influx of 19 returning missionary scholarship players comes back due to the 19/18 year old adjustment 2 years ago. BAM 1 opening. Now let's say we go all out and land Porter Agustin. BAM. Average Stars 4. Pretty impressive. But, so what. Go back to the 35 players signed 2 years ago with a 2.5 star average and that is much more indicative of your team talent.
But do it either way - consistently - over a 3-5 year trend and you get the same answer - average
Take an extreme example. Say we had 12 scholarship players graduate this year. 12 openings. But 6 new recruits in this class go straight on missions. 18 openings. And a couple of current scholarship players decide to go on missions. 20 openings. But a huge influx of 19 returning missionary scholarship players comes back due to the 19/18 year old adjustment 2 years ago. BAM 1 opening. Now let's say we go all out and land Porter Agustin. BAM. Average Stars 4. Pretty impressive. But, so what. Go back to the 35 players signed 2 years ago with a 2.5 star average and that is much more indicative of your team talent.
But do it either way - consistently - over a 3-5 year trend and you get the same answer - average
Anae just might be the guy. Wisconsin DC says Anae is totally unpredictable because he just runs a bunch of plays with no rhyme or reason. Whooped Butt on Houston DC for 3 of 4 quarters. Destroyed Texas DC and HC careers.
- IowaCougar
- Junior
- Posts: 835
- Joined: Tue Jan 19, 2010 12:38 pm
- Fan Level: BYU Fan
- Prediction Group: CougarCorner
- Location: Milwaukee, WI
- Has thanked: 1 time
Re: Recruiting Class 2015
Obviously the average ranking means squat. With a consistently average recruiting ranking, the Cougars are in the top-25 on a regular basis. We want to get the best recruits possible. But more importantly, we want them to perform once the get here.