BSU Preview 2016

[hawkwing]

Sorry, just going off of emotion.

[snoscythe]

I will say, however, that last year BSU's defense was better than BYU's, but both teams lost their defensive coordinators and are implementing new systems this year. Bronco to UVa and whats-his-bucket to Arizona.

[BoiseBYU]

BSU's OLine is good. Their LBs and CBs are more than adequate. Where I think we can prevail is our OLine and Jamaal controlling their DLine. If we can, that should open up the passing game. If we can get pressure on the QB, this will be crucial. The QB is not that mobile. I am not sure how well we will be in doing that, given their OLine. The QB is accurate though and given time will put the ball where it needs to go. BSU has not played a smashmouth, physical team yet like BYU. Wazzu and Oregon State do not count. That might make a difference too. I know this is not anything of real insider information, but it is what I've observed watching these guys all year. Bronco Stadium is a very loud place. I will be there in my white BYU sweath shirt screaming like crazy.

[scott715]

I like the idea of flag bearers be the dads of kids that we are recruiting. This would apply to legacy kids (could include their uncles or cousins). It might help to get the kids attention, maybe even have the kid attend or watch the game and feel the blue spirit of the Y. Also don't wait until the kid is a senior but start while in high school.

[scott715]

http://www.cougarboard.com/board/messag ... d=16747145

BYU according to the five factors

Explosiveness
Offense: #119
Defense #56

Efficiency
Offense #29
Defense #74

Field Position
Offense: #31
Defense: #7

Finishing Drives
Offense: #89
Defense: #90

Turnover Margin: #12

BYU's offense is doing a better job of staying on the field and staying ahead of downs to get into third and manageable. BYU still struggles to finish drives and get teams off the field, but it's been good at forcing turnovers. BYU is in elite territory with defensive field position (thanks Linehan and Lamb). Field position made a huge difference against Michigan State and Mississippi State.

Rush Offense/Defense
On offense, BYU is good at running the ball overall (#13) and at staying ahead of the down (#27). They're bad in short yardage situations (#98).
On defense, BYU is good at stopping the run (#21), staying ahead of the down (#33), and limiting big plays (#19). They're above average in short yardage situations (#40).

Pass Offense/Defense
On offense, BYU is average at passing the ball (#67) and staying ahead of the down (#45). The team is terrible at generating big plays in the passing game (#126). The team does a mediocre job of protecting Taysom (#69). On passing downs, the team is good (#37).
On defense, BYU is mediocre overall (#64), terrible at staying ahead of the down (#114), and mediocre at preventing big plays (#78). The team is above average at getting to the QB (#55). On passing downs, BYU's defense is terrible (#100).

By Quarter
On offense, BYU is average in the 1st (#60), above average in the 2nd (#53), great in the third (#23), and above average in the fourth (#48).
On defense, BYU is average in the 1st (#63), above average in the 2nd (#48), good in the third (#36), and great in the fourth (#20).

By Down
On offense, BYU is above average on 1st (#51), good on 2nd (#36), and good on 3rd (#29).
On defense, BYU is great on 1st (#25), above average on 2nd (#48), and above average on 3rd (#55).

Havoc (% of plays in which the defense recorded a TFL, forced a fumble, or defended a pass)
On defense, BYU's linebackers are elite in causing havoc (#4), however the DL (#119) and secondary (#121) have been terrible.

Boise State according to the five factors

Explosiveness
Offense: #12
Defense #47

Efficiency
Offense #26
Defense #11

Field Position
Offense: #126
Defense: #51

Finishing Drives
Offense: #11
Defense: #27

Turnover Margin: #97

This is the best team that BYU has faced this year (by the stats). They're explosive and efficient on office. Their defense gets teams off the field and they stay ahead of the down. Their only problems are that they generally start with terrible field position and they aren't generating as many turnovers as expected.

Rush Offense/Defense
On offense, Boise is below average at running the ball overall (#79), average at staying ahead of the down (#63) and in generating big plays (#69). They're good in short yardage situations (#24).
On defense, Boise is elite at stopping the run overall (#4) and staying ahead of the down (#16). However, they tend to give up big plays (#102) and they're bad at stopping teams in short yardage situations (#110)

Pass Offense/Defense
On offense, Boise is an elite passing team overall (#6), at staying ahead of the down (#11), and in generating big plays (#9). They're great at protecting the QB (#13). On passing downs, Boise's offense is good overall (#25).
On defense, Boise is an above average team against the pass overall (#54), they're great at staying ahead of the down (#23), and they are elite at eliminating big plays (#9). They're above average at getting to the QB (#44). On passing downs, Boise's defense is great overall (#9).

By Quarter
On offense, they're good in the 1st (#47), 2nd (#43), and 3rd quarters (#31). They're great in the 4th (#18).
On defense, they're great in the 1st (#11) and in the second (#15), good in the third (#30), and terrible in the 4th (#120) -- (maybe because of 2nd and 3rd stringers).

By Down
On offense, they're average on 1st down (#56), great on second (#17), and great on third (#20).
On defense, they're good on 1st down (#37), great on second (#18), and good on third (#28).

Havoc
Their DL is good at causing havoc (#31), but the linebackers (#108) and secondary (#96) are both bad.

This is going to be a tough one. I think that the key is for BYU to run the ball against Boise's stout run defense. If the Cougs can move the ball and keep Boise off the field, then they'll have a shot to win. On defense, they need to prevent the big play and get to the QB. This team hasn't really had to compete in the fourth quarter...so it'll be interesting to see if BYU can put pressure on Boise and cause them to make mistakes. I'm not really worried about Boise running the ball, but I am worried about their passing game. I also think that this is an opportune time to get the TE/RBs more involved in the passing game--because Boise's linebackers and secondary are small and they're terrible at causing havoc.

[mtnradio]

Spiff reports:
BYU has held three of seven opponents below their passing offense averages.

This is what has me worried about BSU. Good passing teams are a real challenge for this year's D. If they give up lots on passing on Thursday, then BSU will look good to win this.

I'm hoping that the pass rush reverses this trend ... but our pass rush hasn't been particularly effective, though I think it may have improved lately.

[Cougs_Rule]

Good analyses.
I'm in a hurry a lazy but someone should look up the size/weight of BSUs Dline. That will be the telling stat. Like Az, I suspect that they are fairly fast but much lighter than some big Dlines we have faced. If this is the case we will be able to run the ball and ball control thru the game. We don't need a long game but it Willmore be there for the taking as their LBs will crowd the box.
Which leaves the line factor in my mind of our pass D. Can we slow them down? Can we get to their QB With our aggressive blitz schemes and can our DBs hold.
So, count field position in the mix. If we win that battle, I think we win the game Bc our D looks a little like BM's bend but don't break. Which , if we make them have long drives ,force them to pass, pick a few passes, we Willmore win this game.
BYU 27-BSU 20.

[Fido]

Here is the updated injury report for tonight's game:

LIMITED
DL Travis Tuiloma (Foot)

PROBABLE
OL Thomas Shoaf (Ankle)
DL Merrill Taliauli (?)

QUESTIONABLE
LB Butch Pau'u (MCL)
LB Grant Jones (Chest)

DOUBTFUL
LB Scott Huntsman (Shoulder)
OL Keiffer Longson (Various)
DB Sam Baldwin (Knee)
OL Kyle Johnson (Knee)

OUT
LB Rylee Gautavai (Knee)
OL Ului Lapuaho (Knee)
DL Tomasi Laulile (Knee)
K Jake Oldroyd (Back - Out for season)
DB Gavin Fowler (ACL - Out for season)

[vancouvercougar]

BOISE State				
35	Derriyon Shaw	DE	222	FR
53	Sam Whitney	DE	239	FR
56	Dane Gooch	DL	254	FR
45	Kayode Rufai	DE	255	FR
40	Jabari Watson	DE	262	FR
93	Chase Hatada	DT	268	FR
54	Matt Locher	NT	272	FR
99	Curtis Weaver	DT	287	FR
98	Sonatane Lui	NT	293	FR
57	Emmanuel Fesili	NT	308	FR
33	Gabe Perez	DE	234	JR
97	Austin Silsby	DE	258	JR
90	Daniel Auelua	DT	293	JR
8	Jabril Frazier	DE	239	SO
91	Durrant Miles	DE	244	SO
92	Paul Semons	DT	270	SO
55	David Moa	NT	271	SO
94	Sam McCaskill	DE	259	SR
96	Elliot Hoyte	DT	279	SR

[vancouvercougar]

By contrast, here is the Michigan state D line

Michigan State				
86	beesley drew	DL	231	FR
83	hill-hunt mufi	DE	240	FR
97	alexander justice	DE	242	FR
12	king josh	DE	267	FR
94	robertson auston	DE	275	FR
96	panasiuk mike	DT	309	FR
93	jones naquan	DT	320	FR
92	williams kevin	DT	281	GS
98	cooper demetrius	DE	253	JR
48	willekes kenny	DE	235	RS FR
51	stallworth kyonta	DL	280	RS FR
99	williams raequan	DL	295	RS FR
52	alexander dillon	DE	240	SO
91	bowers robert	DE	244	SO
22	williams delton	RB	228	SR
85	jones evan	DE	251	SR