PER and Other Stats

Here is the player PER (using my own formula) so far through the first 5 games:


BYU BBall PER 2019-11-21.PNG

I'm inclined to say that we need to start Lee + the 4 best other players. That would suggest starting Barcello, Toolson, Harding, Nixon, and Lee. And yes, benching Haws. I know there's a lot of grumbling about Haws and Toolson not playing well together but I think it also makes sense to separate Haws and Barcello. Those are not only our two best ball handlers, but our ONLY capable ball handlers. I can't remember which home game it was but Pope subbed them both out at the same time and we immediately turned the ball over like 2 times. We gotta always have one of them on the court and currently Barcelo even with his flaws is playing way better than Haws. Haws had a PER on ZERO against BSU. He had more missed FGs than Pts and 5 TOs.



Next is the per game stats so far:


BYU Bball Per Game Stats 2019-11-21.PNG

What pops out to me are the positive shooting numbers by Barcello (50/75/50) and Harding (59.1/87.5/63.6). Those guys need to shoot more especially Harding who despite playing the 5th most minutes has only attempted the 7th most shots. Why is our most efficient scorer/shooter so afraid to shoot the ball? He's a 4 star recruit and I think it's time to unleash him.



Finally, I want to look at our 3 point shooting % and FT Attempts compared to our opponnents. Are we shooting well from the outside and are we being aggressive enough to get to the line?



CSF - we shot 45.5% from 3 vs their 35.7% and had 15 FTA vs 18

SDSU - 33.3% vs 45% and 16 vs 18

SUU - 36.4% vs 0.0% and 20 vs 10

HOU - 36.4% vs 23.5% and 14 vs 14

BSU - 29.2% vs 15.8% and 7 vs 27



So only SDSU has shot the 3 better than us and we have only gotten to the line more against SUU.

BYU is a really poor rebounding team. And we're not getting to the FT line.



Haws has 16 FTAs through five games. Toolson has just 6. And he's a post-up guard. We're not attacking the rim.

We don't have anyone that can attack the rim. Haws can a bit. Barcello tries but he get swatted 80% of the time going to the rim. He may be shooting "well" statistically but Barcello is getting blocked a lot. Same with Harding.

Here is the new PER through the Nevada game. Obviously, on a PER average basis Childs is on top now. Toolson has been more consistently good lately and Barcello is still very solid. Haws has had two horrible games (BSU and Utah) and continues to be very up and down. Even during most games he seems to only really show up during one half. Seljaas has also really dropped off since Child's return. He was actually playing quite well at the 4 in my opinion. He only got 10 minutes against Nevada.


BYU BBall PER 2019-12-11.PNG

Nice. Seljaas loses the most with the return of Childs, especially with the way Nixon is playing. But, what a luxury to have Seljaas coming off the bench.



We basically have an 8 - 9 man rotation. Not bad. Bench is pretty solid.

I'm ok w/ Seljaas losing production w/ Childs coming back.

I look for Lee to move up. I see Pope is not neglecting the bench. This will pay off if not this year it well next year. We have a coach here.

Lee is getting noticeably better. The team is.



Baxter and Lee will be a great combo next year plus Hayward or whomever the transfer is. Pope can coach.



It's shaping up to be a fun season.