Kitic, great post. I appreciate seeing your side of things, and for the continued respect we both have for each other. I am sorry for escalating my posts the way I did to be so inflamatory. I responded to aggression with aggression, and that was wrong of me. Guess it wasn't my day. I will take two metaphorical chill pills and continue our discussion.
- For the record, I am a Jets fan (born under a bad sign :lol: ), and Sanchez did great taking over a new offense, with no offensive tools. As you mentioned, the jets are a blitz first, defensive team and the fact he was able to turn few games late from losses to wins is a great job for a rookie in that position. I expect the same type of performance from either byu qb this season, in that either qb will start at level A, and gain experience to put himself at level B towards the end of the season. The problem with our season, is that two of our top 4 losable games come at the beginning of the season. So we have to go with the qb that knows the offense best and can run it best at that point. Nelson is not suited to run our offense, as his tools provide a running threat, but do not provide the checkdown, timing, and arm strengh (which is accuracy for long throws). Think last year, without the deep ball are strength, and add that to the fact that our receivers including Jacobsen create little to no separation (not sure yet if that was designed, due to having Pitta and George over the middle.) I think it is a little of both. We haven't had 3 offensive styles in the last 15 years. It has basically been the same offense with a few subsets. We use more tight ends, because we don't start faster players, we start bigger and more developed players (insert argument for players going on missions and coming back monster-men here). So we almost always run a two TE offense, with a tailback and 2 wide outs. It has been very effective the last 20 years. You can argue that under Crowton we did things a little differently, and we did, but Doman and Staley were still able to play our normal sets, just had a few added plays. The issue I have is, Nelson can't play our offense as/is. When you start Nelson, you take away the deep ball, and more importantly you take away the 30-40 yard strike over the middle to our tight ends. He simply doesn't have the arm Hall does, and Hall is one of our weaker armed QB's. You add a running threat, but need to add a lot of qb boots, option plays, etc. which is a lot of work for 11 starters and 10 rotators to memorize and become familiar with. 1 practice basically = a new play sufficiently learned, and then one more practice for the 2nd and 3rd teams. My argument is that today, right now, Heaps is better at checkdown, timing, and accuracy. And that has nothing to do with the speed of the game. That translates directly, with a little pitch and catch practice. The speed of the game is knowing the defense is faster, and speeding up your mental "time's up" clock. It is no easy task for a qb, but people have done it, and everything I have seen from Jake leads me to believe he can.
True freshman do step in all the time. Just rarely at the QB position. You don't know any more than I do that Jake Heaps is indeed "that player." I think Heaps can be. But I'm willing to give him time to develop.
In a perfect world, we have that time, but I don't think we do. There is a big difference between - losing and not losing - a couple games, as far as recruiting goes. We don't get the highly touted Non LDS guy having an 8-4 season. We get him by having 5 consecutive 10+ win seasons. To lose now, even though it is rebuilding, is taking away from everything that we've done before now. For example, if in it's last "qualifying" year of evaluation for the BCS the MWC goes out and lays a goose egg, everything we have done up to now means nothing. You know who knows this better than you or I? Bronco and the staff.
This has been my contention for a long time. To me "success" is winning 9 games this year. I don't think we're winning any more games with either QB. I don't think Jake Heaps in 2010 is the difference between 11 wins and seven. I think BYU's record will be what it will be regardless of who starts at QB.
THAT is why I want to be patient with Heaps. I don't think we win any more games with him in 2010. But maybe we do in 2011 or 2012 or 2013 or 2014. I haven't seen the reason we need to RUSH his college career. College football is chock full of examples of uber-talented QBs redshirting and being highly, extremely successful.
This is probably the main part where we differ. I think Jake as an athlete, decision maker, and most importantly to me, a byu qb that we don't need to change the offense for (allowing us to spend precious practices doing other stuff), wins us that extra game or two. But let's pretend that it doesn't. Let's pretend that starting Riley gives you 8 and Jake gives you 8. Even Steven. Then, to me, you start the better quarterback who has the most potential, PROVIDED that he can handle the pressure. If Heaps doesn't cost you any wins, then you give him that gametime experience, and let him pull from that the next 3 years after. Riley is as good as almost as good as he is going to get. He has had ample time to prove himself a starter, and never has. He didn't beat Gaskins last year for the job, and won't beat Jake for 2, if he even beats him for one. Again, sitting out for an entire year learning campus life and the offense, won't do for you what 2 or 3 games experience will do. So if Jake and Nelson give us the same amount of wins (again, I don't think they do) then we start Jake, IF HE CAN HANDLE IT, so that the next few years he can use that experience. Now if we RS Jake, and give him time to learn the offense and do this next year, of course that is the best scenario for him. But for cougar football? There is a huge difference in recruiting a 7-8 win season, versus a 9,10,11 win season. Our recruiting classes the last 3 years have shown that. I would like to continue recruiting at a crazy clip, Jake gives us a chance to do that.
I'm not wanting Nelson to be the QB because of tradition. I want him to be the QB because I don't think we win any more games with Heaps. Playing Nelson allows Heaps the time to learn and improve without the pressure of winning, and winning now.
I am right there with you, I want nothing more than for Nelson to be the qb we need, and RS Jake. I hope it happens, but I am extremely doubtful it will. That sun has set.
He doesn't need to improve in all those areas. He is a good fit for the offense we have - or can be, if the coaches tailor it to his strengths. Nelson can make plays. But he needs to do so. He does need to improve his happy feet and his urge run immediately. And for the record, we've run about three different offense the last 15+ years.
He's not a good fit for our offense, unmodified. And he does need to improve on all those levels, if we want an 8+ win season.
Do you think Riley Nelson can win 8 games in 2010?
- Yeah, if they change the offense, which is a big mistake. I think we are shooting for 8 wins with Riley, and we most likely getting there.
Do you think Riley Nelson can win 10 games in 2010?
- Not a chance in hell. I wish, just isn't happening.
Do you think Jake Heaps can win 8 games in 2010?
- Yes
Do you think Jake Heaps can win 10 games in 2010?
- Yes, especially including a bowl victory as a 10th.
Do you think Riley Nelson can lose 6 games in 2010?
- Nope
Do you think Jake Heaps can lose 6 games in 2010?
- Nope
Here are my answers: Yes, Yes, Yes, Yes, No and No.
And finally: Are you willing to change your mind in fall camp if it's clear Nelson is playing better than Heaps?
- Nothing would make me happier.
Because I'm more than willing to change my mind, because I'm rooting for the BYU Cougars and not the BYU quarterback position.
- good, me too. Unfortunately, for the time being, they are connected. :lol: