Archived Topic

QB Battle Day 7

by SpiffCoug · 8/14/2010

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M
Mars


From the tweets on the right:



"what seems apparent so far is that Heaps throws the ball against the 1s much better than Nelson at this point..."



"Heaps 25-38 for 318 yards against the 1s....Nelson 4-10 for 43 yards...stark"



Funny, I'm been saying the same exact thing...



Sometimes it's tough being the resident board expert. :D
B
Brayden Green
snoscythe wrote:
snoscythe wrote:
If you include (and I know you officialy can't so spare me the "a drop is an incompletion) 5 on the numbers, hit the hands, no excuse to not catch them drops, he goes 15-20, and those are good stats. Riley had a huge gain on a blown coverage. McKay actually stopped and waited about 3 seconds before jogging into the endzon. Take that away and he doesn't look good at all.


Yet again, someone trying to explain away Nelson's performance to make it look worse but try and pump up Heaps' numbers.


don't be foolish sno. Facts are facts. Receivers have been dropping heaps' passes, and my guess is that it's bc he puts more zip on the ball, unlike nelson's wobbly lobs.

mckay got his td catch due to blown coverage... He was wide, and yet still the pass was poorly thrown. You really think we should ignore the facts and just go purely off of numbers... Practice numbers at that?


My point has nothing to do with adding context to numbers--you need that. However, it has to be a two-way street. The Heapsists are quick to identify every dropped pass by Heaps as a receiver snafu and every should be interception by Nelson as a bad throw, but when a receiver drops a Nelson ball, it's because it was poorly thrown, and when the defense should've intercepted a Heaps ball, it's because the defense made a great play or the receiver cut off a route.



Context is great, but if you're going to give it, paint the whole picture, not just what you like.


You want context, Sno... let's compare the offenses against each other in Greg Wrubell's words... You can find his whole post, here... http://www.ksl.com/index.php?nid=498&sid=11996894" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; it is a good read.



Ones vs. Ones

Series 1: Riley Nelson - Three-and-out; 3rd down incompletion, punt.

Series 3: Heaps - 7 plays; drive ending in 45-yd TD pass to Jacobson (deep ball, right side), PAT by Riley Stephenson was good. Heaps: 5/6, 85 yds passing on the 96-yard drive.

Series 6: Nelson - Three-and-out; 3rd down run by Kariya short of the marker, punt.

Series 8: Heaps - Three-and-out; 3rd down completion to O'Neill Chambers short of the marker, punt. (NOTE: I think Chambers fumbled on this play, or it was a bad spot, or stepped out of bounds, because he got past the marker. Anyone know what happened? This was the one they started at the 2, right?)



Twos vs. Twos


Series 2: Jake Heaps - 8 plays; 3rd down incompletion, punt. Drive featured 30-yard completion to TE Austin Holt.

Series 5: Nelson - Three-and-out; 3rd down completion short of marker on 3rd-and-long, punt

SSeries 9: Nelson - Three-and-out; 3rd down sack by Kyle Van Noy, punt.



Twos vs. Threes

Series 7: Heaps - Six plays; incompletion on 3rd-and-17, punt.





How do things look so far Sno? So up to series 10, you have 4 - count them - 4 Nelson 3 and outs. All the while Jake went 24 plays, to Riley's 12 including a 45 yd TD throw to Jacobsen. But yeah, Riley moves the ball, and gets first downs...



Then comes your saving grace, though I'm pretty sure the coaches won't count it in their mental tally (you think they actually care about these numbers you guys throw around) because the whole play developed out of BLOWN COVERAGE, and I say that meaning, there wasn't a guy literally within 15 yards of Jacobsen, and two guys guarding the non-existent draw/curl pattern.



Series 11: Nelson (ones v. twos) - Four plays; drive ending with 35-yd TD pass to Jacobson (wide open on a missed assignment; intermediate right), PAT by Stephenson was good. Nelson: 1/2, 35 yds passing on the 51-yard drive.




Did you actually see the scrimmage, Papa Nelson? And who was the better qb, in your opinion if you did see it?
K
kiwibacon
To those involved in this discussion. Please refrain from personal attacks. Please discuss the topic and refrain from the name calling.
S
SpiffCoug
After watching to two practices - probably the only two I'll get to see, since I won't be able to break away from work for the last one and looking at the stats through fall camp I've come up with the following conclusions.



- Jake is by far the most ready freshman QB we've ever had at BYU. The time, money and effort he and his family have invested have paid off. He will not red shirt, nor do I think he be asked.



- Riley is not capable of beating out Jake. Jake is simply too prepared. Riley will continue to make plays, because the coaches are showing to be very adept at putting him in positions to succeed. But they are conversely capable of the same with Jake.



- I heard today that Jake has a "plan." It's a plan he and his family have had for several years. Three years and then the NFL. It's why they invested the time, money and effort to the private coaches, all the summer camps, all the all-star camps. It's why he graduated early to participate in spring ball. To play his freshman fall. It's why there won't be a mission. Everything he does is part of that plan.



- If fall camp were 60 sessions and not 30, Jake would eventually win the job outright.



- There is still a place for Riley in this offense and team. His role will decrease as the season progresses and Jake gets more comfortable with the speed of D1 football.



- I hope when Riley does come in, it's not just for one play and that one play is the QB draw. I hope he's used for several plays and allowed to run the offense, not just that one play. If he's only going to be used for one, it'll become predictable and easily defended. I think he can be effective for a series or two each game towards the end of the year - especially against teams like TCU and Utah.



- Jake will struggle at times and at stretches this year. I hope coaches stick with him.



- Jake should start seeing more reps. If not on Monday, than by the 23rd at the latest. It's clear to me that he's not going to red-shirt and will play this year, so we may as well start getting him more prepared. I think his skill set requires more reps to get ready than Riley's.



- I give props to the coaches for not wasting time nor games with Jake like Utah did last year with Wynn.



- I said before the camp started, that I was in the Nelson camp, but that I was open to changing my mind. I said, I needed to see either reasons why only Jake could get the job done or Riley couldn't. I haven't seen or read anything to answer those questions. But it is clear to me, that both will play. And if both will play, I think it benefits BYU most to have Jake start getting the majority of the reps.



There is still a role for Riley on this team. The sooner the coaches identify what it is to the QBs and team, the better.



I still think that our record will be the same regardless of who starts. I still think that Riley is fully capable of leading us to 10 wins - just like Jake is. I still think that those in the Heaps Camp didn't give Riley a fair shake and that he wasn't/isn't as bad as they think.



I'm changing my position because it's clear that Jake will play regardless how much I would like to see him RS. So the more prep time he can get now, the more game reps he can get will benefit us against TCU and Utah.
S
SpiffCoug
Oh, and I still think those in the pro-Heaps camp found ways to sugar coat Heaps' performances and looked for lumps and flaws in Nelson's game.



I think I've been pretty fair and objective through the last few weeks.



That is all. I'm now heading out to the RSL game.
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Italics
kiwibacon wrote:
To those involved in this discussion. Please refrain from personal attacks. Please discuss the topic and refrain from the name calling.


I'm guessing you're referring to the name "papa nelson." I actually think it's kind of a funny term, props to blueisbetter :lol: In fact, I wish we could have more "light-hearted" nicknames like this on the board. I'll even let Mars call me "emo boy", if I can call him "Sir Copypaste" :crazy: :P
S
snoscythe
BlueIsBetter wrote:
Italics wrote:
BlueIsBetter wrote:
If you include (and I know you officialy can't so spare me the "a drop is an incompletion) 5 on the numbers, hit the hands, no excuse to not catch them drops, he goes 15-20, and those are good stats. Riley had a huge gain on a blown coverage. McKay actually stopped and waited about 3 seconds before jogging into the endzon. Take that away and he doesn't look good at all.


Yet again, someone trying to explain away Nelson's performance to make it look worse but try and pump up Heaps' numbers.


don't be foolish sno. Facts are facts. Receivers have been dropping heaps' passes, and my guess is that it's bc he puts more zip on the ball, unlike nelson's wobbly lobs.

mckay got his td catch due to blown coverage... He was wide, and yet still the pass was poorly thrown. You really think we should ignore the facts and just go purely off of numbers... Practice numbers at that?


My point has nothing to do with adding context to numbers--you need that. However, it has to be a two-way street. The Heapsists are quick to identify every dropped pass by Heaps as a receiver snafu and every should be interception by Nelson as a bad throw, but when a receiver drops a Nelson ball, it's because it was poorly thrown, and when the defense should've intercepted a Heaps ball, it's because the defense made a great play or the receiver cut off a route.



Context is great, but if you're going to give it, paint the whole picture, not just what you like.


You want context, Sno... let's compare the offenses against each other in Greg Wrubell's words... You can find his whole post, here... http://www.ksl.com/index.php?nid=498&sid=11996894" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; it is a good read.



Ones vs. Ones

Series 1: Riley Nelson - Three-and-out; 3rd down incompletion, punt.

Series 3: Heaps - 7 plays; drive ending in 45-yd TD pass to Jacobson (deep ball, right side), PAT by Riley Stephenson was good. Heaps: 5/6, 85 yds passing on the 96-yard drive.

Series 6: Nelson - Three-and-out; 3rd down run by Kariya short of the marker, punt.

Series 8: Heaps - Three-and-out; 3rd down completion to O'Neill Chambers short of the marker, punt. (NOTE: I think Chambers fumbled on this play, or it was a bad spot, or stepped out of bounds, because he got past the marker. Anyone know what happened? This was the one they started at the 2, right?)



Twos vs. Twos


Series 2: Jake Heaps - 8 plays; 3rd down incompletion, punt. Drive featured 30-yard completion to TE Austin Holt.

Series 5: Nelson - Three-and-out; 3rd down completion short of marker on 3rd-and-long, punt

SSeries 9: Nelson - Three-and-out; 3rd down sack by Kyle Van Noy, punt.



Twos vs. Threes

Series 7: Heaps - Six plays; incompletion on 3rd-and-17, punt.





How do things look so far Sno? So up to series 10, you have 4 - count them - 4 Nelson 3 and outs. All the while Jake went 24 plays, to Riley's 12 including a 45 yd TD throw to Jacobsen. But yeah, Riley moves the ball, and gets first downs...



Then comes your saving grace, though I'm pretty sure the coaches won't count it in their mental tally (you think they actually care about these numbers you guys throw around) because the whole play developed out of BLOWN COVERAGE, and I say that meaning, there wasn't a guy literally within 15 yards of Jacobsen, and two guys guarding the non-existent draw/curl pattern.



Series 11: Nelson (ones v. twos) - Four plays; drive ending with 35-yd TD pass to Jacobson (wide open on a missed assignment; intermediate right), PAT by Stephenson was good. Nelson: 1/2, 35 yds passing on the 51-yard drive.




Did you actually see the scrimmage, Papa Nelson? And who was the better qb, in your opinion if you did see it?


Did not see the scrimmage.



I was simply making an observation that kitic has summed up as well. Nothing you posted did anything to address the point. Nowhere did I make any claim or evaluation as to talent on the day. In fact, you have somewhat proven the point I was making by attempting to twist a completion to a wide open receiver on a blown play into a negative.



If Heaps made the exact same throw, you would be applauding his field vision and wisdom in under-throwing the ball to the wide open guy (p.s. it's what you want to do when the guy is that wide open---err on the short side so he can come back to it because if you overthrow it, there's nothing he can do). But, since it was Nelson, here you sit trying to take the play away from him as something he lucked into and try to leverage it into a negative.



Nicely done sir. Thank you for proving my point.
J
jonnylingo
snoscythe wrote:
If you include (and I know you officialy can't so spare me the "a drop is an incompletion) 5 on the numbers, hit the hands, no excuse to not catch them drops, he goes 15-20, and those are good stats. Riley had a huge gain on a blown coverage. McKay actually stopped and waited about 3 seconds before jogging into the endzon. Take that away and he doesn't look good at all.


Yet again, someone trying to explain away Nelson's performance to make it look worse but try and pump up Heaps' numbers.


I think it goes both ways. lets not kids ourselves.
C
Cougarfan87
Kitic,



Thanks for keeping the Heaps camp in check with some reality. Being far away, I could not actually see what is going on, but I want the QB that gives us the best chance to win on the field. I agree that both QBs will be on the field in a two QB system where Riley gets to do more than just one QB draw. He may be used as a change of pace QB to run a series now and then and keep the defense on their toes. My guess is that Lark will be the passing backup to Heaps in the offense we field this year. He needs to be ready in case Heaps is named starter but doesn't make it through the year. Whatever happens with the QB depth chart, we are in for an exciting time the next few years. I can't wait to get started! Go COUGS!!!!!!!!!! :evil: :evil: :evil:
S
snoscythe
kitic77 wrote:
- I heard today that Jake has a "plan." It's a plan he and his family have had for several years. Three years and then the NFL. It's why they invested the time, money and effort to the private coaches, all the summer camps, all the all-star camps. It's why he graduated early to participate in spring ball. To play his freshman fall. It's why there won't be a mission. Everything he does is part of that plan.


It's nice to have a plan, but 3 other guys have to buy into it--Bronco, Robert, and Brandon. He has the talent, but he can only do so much to make that plan happen.
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A
airattack
Kitic there is no "plan" concerning Jake... lol... I think someone is just pulling your leg or this is just more sour grapes. There seems to be enough of that to make some serious grape juice or maybe something stronger. ;)
B
Brayden Green
snocythe wrote:
In fact, you have somewhat proven the point I was making by attempting to twist a completion to a wide open receiver on a blown play into a negative.



If Heaps made the exact same throw, you would be applauding his field vision and wisdom in under-throwing the ball to the wide open guy (p.s. it's what you want to do when the guy is that wide open---err on the short side so he can come back to it because if you overthrow it, there's nothing he can do). But, since it was Nelson, here you sit trying to take the play away from him as something he lucked into and try to leverage it into a negative.



Nicely done sir. Thank you for proving my point.


What are you even talking about? If Heaps didn't hit the guy in stride, I would say that. IF that ever happens, I'll let you know. The ball was literally sky high, and he was waiting for it forever. So you are sitting here, and lambasting me, for something you didn't see? Is that what I am understanding? Ask anybody, the hang time was there on the ball. His ball was higher than Heaps' and Heaps threw it 10 yards further. But whatever, you are entitled to your non-opinion. If Heaps did underthrow him, I would say, it was underthrown, just like the 1 billion times that Max did it while he was here. He did luck into it, two defenders were covering: Nobody! Anybody that writes on this subject is going to say the same thing. Just because somebody can underhand a pass to a wide open target - Nevermind, it's like typing to a brick wall... Find a video of it. See for yourself before you start defending. Again, the most important things here are #1 This never happens again, no matter WHO is the quarterback, especially if he isn't a BYU quarterback, and #2 The TD was made. I give him that much credit. If you check my posts from yesterday, I actually went pretty soft on Nelson, and had praise for him. Credit is given were credit is due.



p.s. I really meant no disrespect with the papa nelson thing, I will drop it gladly. :)
S
snoscythe
BlueIsBetter wrote:
In fact, you have somewhat proven the point I was making by attempting to twist a completion to a wide open receiver on a blown play into a negative.



If Heaps made the exact same throw, you would be applauding his field vision and wisdom in under-throwing the ball to the wide open guy (p.s. it's what you want to do when the guy is that wide open---err on the short side so he can come back to it because if you overthrow it, there's nothing he can do). But, since it was Nelson, here you sit trying to take the play away from him as something he lucked into and try to leverage it into a negative.



Nicely done sir. Thank you for proving my point.


What are you even talking about? If Heaps didn't hit the guy in stride, I would say that. IF that ever happens, I'll let you know. The ball was literally sky high, and he was waiting for it forever. So you are sitting here, and lambasting me, for something you didn't see? Is that what I am understanding? Ask anybody, the hang time was there on the ball. His ball was higher than Heaps' and Heaps threw it 10 yards further. But whatever, you are entitled to your non-opinion. If Heaps did underthrow him, I would say, it was underthrown, just like the 1 billion times that Max did it while he was here. He did luck into it, two defenders were covering: Nobody! Anybody that writes on this subject is going to say the same thing. Just because somebody can underhand a pass to a wide open target - Nevermind, it's like typing to a brick wall... Find a video of it. See for yourself before you start defending. Again, the most important things here are #1 This never happens again, no matter WHO is the quarterback, especially if he isn't a BYU quarterback, and #2 The TD was made. I give him that much credit. If you check my posts from yesterday, I actually went pretty soft on Nelson, and had praise for him. Credit is given were credit is due.



p.s. I really meant no disrespect with the papa nelson thing, I will drop it gladly. :)


I don't have to ask anyone---I already saw Hawkwing call you to task for grossly exaggerating, and he was there, and he doesn't have a pony in the QB race.
B
Brayden Green
I wouldn't say that I have a pony, unless it is blue with a big white "Y" on it. I just want the best for BYU, and have taken the reverse stance as Kitic used to have. That being, Nelson can't get us to 10 wins, and even the CHANCE of winning 10 games in a season (again) during a year with so much transition is too good to pass up. The option running game needs a ton of work, and takes up precious time. We almost had a fumble against the 2nd team on a pitch. It is not close to ready... We saw that the last time we implemented a major running attack, the defense got skipped over during camps, and 72 points later against Hawaii, we realized that was a bad move. Our defense was terrible those years, and that has as much to do with preparation as personnel, with the schedule we had. Re-tooling our offense, to the quarterback is a big mistake. Why change something we have done better than anyone else for the last 30 years, so we can sit one guy and play another? Heaps is a better qb than Nelson. He seems ready enough to play at this level, and I think Nelson as a switchup qb will be a really good thing. Why not use both qb's in a way comfortable to them, and in a way that you don't have to CHANGE any plays, just ADD to the playbook? Heaps is a BYU qb, Lark is a BYU qb, Munns is a BYU qb (when he shakes off the mission rust) Riley isn't. He would be a good Brian Johnson, Tim Tebow-esque quarterback, but not our offense. He is still way too jittery and doesn't have the arm our system demands. I just don't see the big deal in rooting for someone that plays for BYU. Riley fits in a wildcat, motion, misdirection offense and that is great for him. We are not and have not ever been a good wildcat type school. You can argue with Doman, but we threw the crap out of the ball with him.



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M
Mars
Cougarfan87 wrote:
Kitic, Thanks for keeping the Heaps camp in check with some reality.

Come on, this quote is ridiculous. :roll:



REALITY is, the vast majority of BYU fans have been in the "Heaps camp" for a long time now, and those who weren't clearly hadn't been paying BYU's QB race any attention. Anyone who has ever seen the two QBs in person could quickly and easily identify Jake as the more talented player. Anyone who has seen the stats, either spring or fall, has noticed the same thing. Those who had eyes to see saw a long time ago. The rest have either been proudly ignorant or willfully stubborn, no different in my mind than those who called to start Loyd over Jimmer last season, based on... nothing. Harsh but true.



Go Cougars.
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Cougarbib
Yeah MARS - u r right. It is amazing that the coaches are so stupid and blind that they are putting us all through this drawn-out farce - day after day - when it is so clear already that even an IDIOT can see it. The coaches are wrecking the team by not focusing when even an IDIOT can see that they could have started focusing from day 1.



Good Call. eMail your post to Bronco and let him know we are gong to get rid of him and get a decent coach if he doesn't stop this nonsense right now.



TIC - in case it was not so obvious that even an idiot could tell.



Bib



PS I will be delghted to have Heaps start and play every singel down for 4 years if that is what Bronco decides is best for the team. As Al Davis often said - Just Win (10 or 11 or more) Baby.
C
CougarClaw
Cougarbib2 wrote:
Yeah MARS - u r right. It is amazing that the coaches are so stupid and blind that they are putting us all through this drawn-out farce - day after day - when it is so clear already that even an IDIOT can see it. The coaches are wrecking the team by not focusing when even an IDIOT can see that they could have started focusing from day 1.


Heaps has almost twice as many series against the 1s as Nelson. take that for what you will.
D
Ddawg
CAFB_04-12 wrote:
I'm still excited about each QB. Each brings an exciting dimension to the game.


Ditto. +1.
C
Cougarbib
I was reading a quote from some guy named Mendenhall - Bronco iirc - he said that b4 he could make any comment on how the QBs, tight ends, and linebackers compared, he would first need to carefully analyze film. Hmmmm - must be kind of complicated to sort this stuff out. I wonder if he knows that sometimes it is with the 1s and then the 2s and then the 3s against who knows which group on defense. I wonder if he needs to analyze film to understand that - or I suppose that was as obvious to him as it was to all of us - maybe he is looking at something deeper than that. Maybe he is going to look at in within a context of what the coaches were trying to accomplish, expected the player to do in that situation, and what actually happened. Maybe he was just distracted and not paying attention during the drill and just needs to referesh his memory. wadda ya think?
I
Italics
Cougarbib2 wrote:
Yeah MARS - u r right. It is amazing that the coaches are so stupid and blind that they are putting us all through this drawn-out farce - day after day - when it is so clear already that even an IDIOT can see it. The coaches are wrecking the team by not focusing when even an IDIOT can see that they could have started focusing from day 1.



Good Call. eMail your post to Bronco and let him know we are gong to get rid of him and get a decent coach if he doesn't stop this nonsense right now.



TIC - in case it was not so obvious that even an idiot could tell.



Bib



PS I will be delghted to have Heaps start and play every singel down for 4 years if that is what Bronco decides is best for the team. As Al Davis often said - Just Win (10 or 11 or more) Baby.


You really think Bronco wants to make it obvious who the starter is right now?

Why?

So Sark can base his entire defensive strategy around who he'll be playing against? The quarterback styles of Heaps and Nelson are as different as night and day... at this point, UW has no idea what to expect. I'm not certain why on earth you think Bronco WOULD announce who the starter is going to be at this point.
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